I will use your suggested. In the context of this question, the approximate meaning is 'to produce', 'to. I must have heard people use it incorrectly so much that the correct way sounds strange.
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To make for is an idiom with several different meanings. Thus, if a subject is. This is the rule to be applied while deciding what to opt for.
The formal and traditional answer is makes, because the subject is the singular noun phrase receiving homemade cupcakes.
The subject must agree in number with its verb.
