Thus, if a subject is. The subject must agree in number with its verb. I must have heard people use it incorrectly so much that the correct way sounds strange.
Florida Beats Tennessee to Win SEC Tournament as Fans Look to March
In the context of this question, the approximate meaning is 'to produce', 'to. This is the rule to be applied while deciding what to opt for. I will use your suggested.
To make for is an idiom with several different meanings.
The formal and traditional answer is makes, because the subject is the singular noun phrase receiving homemade cupcakes.